Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000143 0.000158 0.000175 0.000194 0.000215 0.000238 0.000264
2025-08-17 0.000114 0.000136 0.000161 0.000193 0.000231 0.000277 0.000336
2025-08-24 0.000095 0.000120 0.000150 0.000190 0.000242 0.000307 0.000398
2025-08-31 0.000081 0.000106 0.000138 0.000183 0.000245 0.000327 0.000448
2025-09-07 0.000072 0.000098 0.000133 0.000183 0.000256 0.000357 0.000513
2025-09-14 0.000067 0.000093 0.000131 0.000187 0.000271 0.000394 0.000591
2025-09-21 0.000060 0.000086 0.000124 0.000183 0.000275 0.000414 0.000647
2025-09-28 0.000053 0.000079 0.000116 0.000176 0.000272 0.000424 0.000687
2025-10-05 0.000050 0.000076 0.000115 0.000179 0.000285 0.000457 0.000769
2025-10-12 0.000048 0.000074 0.000114 0.000183 0.000300 0.000497 0.000867
2025-10-19 0.000044 0.000070 0.000110 0.000180 0.000304 0.000517 0.000932
2025-10-26 0.000042 0.000067 0.000109 0.000183 0.000315 0.000552 0.001029
2025-11-02 0.000039 0.000064 0.000105 0.000180 0.000319 0.000576 0.001109
2025-11-09 0.000036 0.000061 0.000102 0.000179 0.000326 0.000605 0.001207
2025-11-16 0.000034 0.000057 0.000098 0.000176 0.000329 0.000628 0.001293
2025-11-23 0.000031 0.000053 0.000093 0.000170 0.000325 0.000637 0.001351
2025-11-30 0.000029 0.000051 0.000091 0.000171 0.000334 0.000671 0.001472
2025-12-07 0.000028 0.000050 0.000091 0.000174 0.000349 0.000720 0.001633
2025-12-14 0.000026 0.000048 0.000087 0.000171 0.000349 0.000739 0.001727
2025-12-21 0.000024 0.000044 0.000083 0.000164 0.000343 0.000741 0.001776
2025-12-28 0.000023 0.000043 0.000082 0.000166 0.000355 0.000787 0.001948
2026-01-04 0.000023 0.000043 0.000083 0.000170 0.000372 0.000847 0.002164
2026-01-11 0.000021 0.000041 0.000080 0.000168 0.000374 0.000870 0.002285